Rhamondre StevensonorZay Flowers?
Week 6 start/sit decision, running back or wide receiver.
Our call
Start Zay Flowers
Zay Flowers outscores Rhamondre Stevenson in 56% of simulations.
Rhamondre Stevenson still comes out ahead in the other 44%, so Zay Flowers is the better bet, not a sure thing. Zay Flowers projects 0.6 half-PPR points ahead in Week 6. Rhamondre Stevenson has the better matchup against the New York Jets (25% more than average to RBs); Zay Flowers faces the Cleveland Browns (1% fewer than average to WRs). Zay Flowers still wins more often despite that. Scoring matters here: in Standard leagues, Zay Flowers wins 51%.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 3.3
- Median
- 10.8
- Ceiling
- 25.4
- Big game (20+):
- 19%
- Dud (under 6):
- 24%
- Floor
- 5.2
- Median
- 12.4
- Ceiling
- 24.5
- Big game (20+):
- 19%
- Dud (under 6):
- 13%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Rhamondre StevensonRB, NE, Sun, Oct 18, 1:00 p.m. ET | Zay FlowersWR, BAL, Sun, Oct 18, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 13.2 | 13.8 |
| PPR projection | 14.8 | 16.7 |
| Standard projection | 11.7 | 10.9 |
| Rank this week | RB9 | WR7 |
| Matchup | vs NYJ | at CLE |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 10.7 | 17.2 |
| Last season per game | 11.6 | 11.8 |
| Snap share, last game | 71% | 82% |
| Trade value | 20 | 37 |