Sam LaPortaorTee Higgins?

Week 5 start/sit decision, tight end or wide receiver.

Our call

Lean Tee Higgins

Tee Higgins outscores Sam LaPorta in 52% of simulations.

That's close to a coin flip: Sam LaPorta comes out ahead in the other 48%. Lean Tee Higgins, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Tee Higgins projects 0.3 half-PPR points ahead in Week 5. Sam LaPorta has the better matchup against the Arizona Cardinals (34% more than average to TEs); Tee Higgins faces the Miami Dolphins (14% fewer than average to WRs). Tee Higgins still wins more often despite that.

Range of outcomes, half-PPR

Sam LaPorta
Floor
4.2
Median
10.7
Ceiling
22.1
Big game (15+):
28%
Dud (under 5):
14%
Tee Higgins
Floor
4.4
Median
11.2
Ceiling
23.2
Big game (20+):
16%
Dud (under 6):
18%

Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.

StatSam LaPortaTE, DET, Sun, Oct 11, 4:25 p.m. ETTee HigginsWR, CIN, Sun, Oct 11, 1:00 p.m. ET
Half-PPR projection12.312.6
PPR projection15.114.9
Standard projection9.410.2
Rank this weekTE4WR12
Matchupat ARIat MIA
InjuryNoneNone
2026 points per game11.414.7
Last season per game9.712.1
Snap share, last game79%79%
Trade value2238