D'Andre SwiftorJa'Marr Chase?
Week 4 start/sit decision, running back or wide receiver.
Our call
Lean D'Andre Swift
D'Andre Swift outscores Ja'Marr Chase in 52% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Ja'Marr Chase comes out ahead in the other 48%. Lean D'Andre Swift, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. D'Andre Swift projects 0.8 half-PPR points ahead in Week 4. D'Andre Swift has the better matchup against the New York Jets (27% more than average to RBs); Ja'Marr Chase faces the Jacksonville Jaguars (2% fewer than average to WRs). Scoring matters here: in PPR leagues, Ja'Marr Chase is the pick at 54%; in Standard leagues, D'Andre Swift wins 61%.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 6.4
- Median
- 14.7
- Ceiling
- 28.4
- Big game (20+):
- 29%
- Dud (under 6):
- 9%
- Floor
- 5.7
- Median
- 14.0
- Ceiling
- 28.1
- Big game (20+):
- 27%
- Dud (under 6):
- 11%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | D'Andre SwiftRB, CHI, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 p.m. ET | Ja'Marr ChaseWR, CIN, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 16.5 | 15.7 |
| PPR projection | 17.8 | 19.3 |
| Standard projection | 15.1 | 12.1 |
| Rank this week | RB6 | WR3 |
| Matchup | vs NYJ | vs JAX |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 17.4 | 15.2 |
| Last season per game | 13.2 | 15.7 |
| Snap share, last game | 69% | 100% |
| Trade value | 35 | 49 |