DeVonta SmithorTrey McBride?
Week 7 start/sit decision, wide receiver or tight end.
Our call
Lean Trey McBride
Trey McBride outscores DeVonta Smith in 52% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: DeVonta Smith comes out ahead in the other 48%. Lean Trey McBride, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Both project 13.4 half-PPR points in Week 7. DeVonta Smith has the better matchup against the Dallas Cowboys (24% more than average to WRs); Trey McBride faces the Denver Broncos (1% fewer than average to TEs). Trey McBride still wins more often despite that.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 4.2
- Median
- 11.7
- Ceiling
- 26.3
- Big game (20+):
- 20%
- Dud (under 6):
- 19%
- Floor
- 5.6
- Median
- 12.2
- Ceiling
- 22.6
- Big game (15+):
- 34%
- Dud (under 5):
- 7%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | DeVonta SmithWR, PHI, Mon, Oct 26, 8:15 p.m. ET | Trey McBrideTE, ARI, Sun, Oct 25, 4:05 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 13.4 | 13.4 |
| PPR projection | 16.5 | 17.3 |
| Standard projection | 10.3 | 9.5 |
| Rank this week | WR12 | TE2 |
| Matchup | vs DAL | vs DEN |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 14.0 | 13.1 |
| Last season per game | 9.6 | 14.9 |
| Snap share, last game | 66% | 97% |
| Trade value | 16 | 33 |