Harold Fannin Jr.orTyler Higbee?

Week 6 start/sit decision, tight end versus tight end.

Our call

Start Tyler Higbee

Tyler Higbee outscores Harold Fannin Jr. in 56% of simulations.

Harold Fannin Jr. still comes out ahead in the other 44%, so Tyler Higbee is the better bet, not a sure thing. Tyler Higbee projects 1.3 half-PPR points ahead in Week 6. Tyler Higbee has the better matchup against the Arizona Cardinals (36% more than average to TEs); Harold Fannin Jr. faces the Baltimore Ravens (17% fewer than average to TEs).

Range of outcomes, half-PPR

Harold Fannin Jr.
Floor
2.5
Median
6.9
Ceiling
14.4
Big game (15+):
9%
Dud (under 5):
33%
Tyler Higbee
Floor
2.6
Median
7.9
Ceiling
17.9
Big game (15+):
16%
Dud (under 5):
29%

Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.

StatHarold Fannin Jr.TE, CLE, Sun, Oct 18, 1:00 p.m. ETTyler HigbeeTE, LAR, Sun, Oct 18, 4:05 p.m. ET
Half-PPR projection7.99.2
PPR projection9.711.4
Standard projection6.27.1
Rank this weekTE14TE10
Matchupvs BALvs ARI
InjuryNoneNone
2026 points per game8.59.1
Last season per game9.45.9
Snap share, last game93%67%
Trade value2—