Kyren WilliamsorTee Higgins?

Week 9 start/sit decision, running back or wide receiver.

Our call

Lean Kyren Williams

Kyren Williams outscores Tee Higgins in 50% of simulations.

That's close to a coin flip: Tee Higgins comes out ahead in the other 50%. Lean Kyren Williams, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Tee Higgins projects 0.6 half-PPR points more, but more of that rests on the occasional big game. The matchups don't separate them: Kyren Williams faces the Washington Commanders (4% more than average to RBs), Tee Higgins faces the Atlanta Falcons (2% more than average to WRs). Scoring matters here: in Standard leagues, Kyren Williams wins 55%.

Range of outcomes, half-PPR

Kyren Williams
Floor
7.7
Median
14.6
Ceiling
24.6
Big game (20+):
24%
Dud (under 6):
4%
Tee Higgins
Floor
5.4
Median
14.3
Ceiling
30.9
Big game (20+):
29%
Dud (under 6):
12%

Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.

StatKyren WilliamsRB, LAR, Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 p.m. ETTee HigginsWR, CIN, Sun, Nov 8, 9:30 a.m. ET
Half-PPR projection15.816.4
PPR projection17.419.2
Standard projection14.213.6
Rank this weekRB7WR4
Matchupat WASat ATL
InjuryNoneNone
2026 points per game16.716.9
Last season per game14.412.1
Snap share, last game69%88%
Trade value4060