Mike EvansorTony Pollard?
Week 10 start/sit decision, wide receiver or running back.
Our call
Lean Mike Evans
Mike Evans outscores Tony Pollard in 52% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Tony Pollard comes out ahead in the other 48%. Lean Mike Evans, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Mike Evans projects 0.2 half-PPR points ahead in Week 10. Mike Evans has the better matchup against the Dallas Cowboys (21% more than average to WRs); Tony Pollard faces the Jacksonville Jaguars (21% fewer than average to RBs). Scoring matters here: in PPR leagues, Mike Evans wins 58%.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 4.8
- Median
- 11.3
- Ceiling
- 21.2
- Big game (20+):
- 13%
- Dud (under 6):
- 16%
- Floor
- 3.7
- Median
- 10.7
- Ceiling
- 23.6
- Big game (20+):
- 17%
- Dud (under 6):
- 22%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
Share this
| Stat | Mike EvansWR, SF, Sun, Nov 15, 4:25 p.m. ET | Tony PollardRB, TEN, Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 12.6 | 12.4 |
| PPR projection | 15.0 | 13.2 |
| Standard projection | 10.3 | 11.5 |
| Rank this week | WR9 | RB13 |
| Matchup | at DAL | vs JAX |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 12.6 | 13.7 |
| Last season per game | 8.7 | 10.0 |
| Snap share, last game | 40% | 82% |
| Trade value | 18 | 39 |