Rachaad WhiteorSaquon Barkley?
Week 5 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Lean Saquon Barkley
Saquon Barkley outscores Rachaad White in 52% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Rachaad White comes out ahead in the other 48%. Lean Saquon Barkley, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Both project 8.4 half-PPR points in Week 5. Rachaad White has the better matchup against the New York Giants (13% more than average to RBs); Saquon Barkley faces the Jacksonville Jaguars (22% fewer than average to RBs). Saquon Barkley still wins more often despite that.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 2.6
- Median
- 7.3
- Ceiling
- 15.6
- Big game (20+):
- 4%
- Dud (under 6):
- 39%
- Floor
- 3.2
- Median
- 7.5
- Ceiling
- 14.6
- Big game (20+):
- 3%
- Dud (under 6):
- 35%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Rachaad WhiteRB, WAS, Sun, Oct 11, 1:00 p.m. ET | Saquon BarkleyRB, PHI, Sun, Oct 11, 9:30 a.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 8.4 | 8.4 |
| PPR projection | 9.8 | 9.1 |
| Standard projection | 7.1 | 7.6 |
| Rank this week | RB30 | RB29 |
| Matchup | vs NYG | at JAX |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 8.5 | 5.3 |
| Last season per game | 7.2 | 13.4 |
| Snap share, last game | 43% | 7% |
| Trade value | — | — |