Garrett WilsonorSam LaPorta?
Week 5 start/sit decision, wide receiver or tight end.
Our call
Lean Sam LaPorta
Sam LaPorta outscores Garrett Wilson in 53% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Garrett Wilson comes out ahead in the other 47%. Lean Sam LaPorta, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Sam LaPorta projects 0.4 half-PPR points ahead in Week 5. Sam LaPorta has the better matchup against the Arizona Cardinals (34% more than average to TEs); Garrett Wilson faces the Cleveland Browns (1% fewer than average to WRs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 3.7
- Median
- 10.2
- Ceiling
- 22.2
- Big game (20+):
- 14%
- Dud (under 6):
- 23%
- Floor
- 4.2
- Median
- 10.7
- Ceiling
- 22.1
- Big game (15+):
- 28%
- Dud (under 5):
- 14%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Garrett WilsonWR, NYJ, Sun, Oct 11, 1:00 p.m. ET | Sam LaPortaTE, DET, Sun, Oct 11, 4:25 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 11.9 | 12.3 |
| PPR projection | 14.6 | 15.1 |
| Standard projection | 9.2 | 9.4 |
| Rank this week | WR13 | TE4 |
| Matchup | vs CLE | at ARI |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 12.8 | 11.4 |
| Last season per game | 11.6 | 9.7 |
| Snap share, last game | 100% | 79% |
| Trade value | 24 | 22 |